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  Press Contact:
Stéphane Téral
Principal Analyst, Mobile and FMC Infrastructure
Infonetics Research
(408) 583-3371
stephane@infonetics.com
twitter: infonetics


2009 marks first year in short disinvestment cycle for telecom carriers

 

Campbell, CALIFORNIA, November 19, 2009—Market research firm Infonetics Research (www.twitter.com/infonetics) released the second edition of its 2009 Service Provider Capex, Opex, ARPU, and Subscribers report, which features analysis on how current economic conditions are impacting telecom markets by region and equipment segment.

 

ANALYST NOTE

“Global telecom service provider capital expenditures hit a plateau in 2008, marking the end of a 5-year investment cycle and the beginning of a 3-year disinvestment cycle, albeit a less dramatic one than what followed the great telecom crash of 2000. Capex will bottom down in 2010 and a new investment cycle will start in 2011, driven by 3G rollouts in India and Central and Latin America, the start of 3G rollouts in Africa, and a ramp-up in LTE deployments in Australia, Brazil, Western Europe, Japan, and North America,” predicts Stéphane Téral, principal analyst for mobile and FMC infrastructure at Infonetics Research.


REPORT HIGHLIGHTS
  • Worldwide, service providers spent US$305 billion in 2008 on capital expenditure projects, such as network infrastructure upgrades
  • Global capex is forecast to decline at most 6% in 2009, mainly due to a significant capex shakeout in the Middle East and Africa, a weakening US dollar, expected declines in the Brazilian real and Mexican peso, and delays in US broadband stimulus funding
  • Infonetics anticipates a year-end bump up in capex, which could bring the overall capex decline in 2009 to less than 6%
  • Optical network hardware is a bright spot in today’s tightened capex environment, with decent single-digit percent spending growth expected in 2009, despite currency devaluations
  • Mainly due to currency effects, worldwide service provider revenue is forecast to decline only very slightly in 2009, to $1.67 trillion, driven by mobile communication services, as consumers continue to hold on to their mobile services during tough economic times
  • Mobile infrastructure will continue to dominate total global telecom and datacom spending, followed by voice equipment
  • The world's 10 largest service providers (ranked in order by 2008 revenue) are AT&T, NTT, Verizon, Deutsche Telekom, France Télécom, Vodafone, China Mobile, Telefónica, BT, and Sprint

REPORT SYNOPSIS

Infonetics’ capex report tracks revenue, capex, capex-to-revenue ratios, opex, ARPU, subscribers, and access lines of 171 public and semi-private/government-owned service providers on a monthly and biannual basis. The report includes past, current, and forecast capex and revenue data through 2013 and equipment forecasts through 2009, market drivers, analysis, service provider demographics, and customizable pivot tables to analyze data by service provider, service provider type, and equipment category.


The report includes a Fundamental Telecom/Datacom Market Drivers report with analysis of overall market conditions for service providers, enterprises, subscribers, and the global economy.


Regions covered in the report include North America, EMEA (Europe, Middle East, Africa), Asia Pacific, CALA (Central and Latin America), and worldwide.


CLIENT CONFERENCE CALL

  • Clients: Join Stéphane Téral for a live Service Provider Capex report telebriefing with Q&A time. Log on to the portal for conference call access information
    • Conference Call 1: Wed., Dec. 9 at 8:00am San Francisco / 11:00am Boston / 4:00pm London
    • Conference Call 2: Thu., Dec. 10 at 9:00am Beijing / 10:00am Tokyo / 12:00pm Sydney

RELATED RESEARCH


MORE INFORMATION

Log on or join: http://www.infonetics.com/login

From the portal, go to RESEARCH, then SERVICE PROVIDER CAPEX AND SUBSCRIBERS.


SALES


Infonetics Research (www.infonetics.com) is an international market research and consulting firm serving the communications industry since 1990. A leader in defining and tracking emerging and established technologies in all world regions, Infonetics helps clients plan, strategize, and compete more effectively.


Follow Infonetics on Twitter for the latest headlines: http://twitter.com/infonetics.

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"Service provider capex will bottom down in 2010 and a new investment cycle will start in 2011, driven by 3G rollouts and a ramp-up in LTE deployments."

Stéphane Téral, Principal Analyst
Service Provider Capex, Opex, ARPU, and Subscribers

SALES

Interested in buying a report or discussing a consulting project? Please contact:

Larry Howard, Vice President
larry@infonetics.com +1 408.583.3335

Scott Coyne, Senior Account Director Eastern North America, Europe, Middle East
scott@infonetics.com +1 408.583.3395