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RESEARCH

 
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   Broadband Networks

The Broadband Networks area is led by Jeff Heynen and covers residential, business, and service provider broadband data (fixed-line), including equipment, software, services, and subscribers.
  • Equipment and software tracked:
    • ATM and IP DSLAMs
    • MSAPs (multiservice access platforms)
    • Next gen DLCs
    • DSL and cable modems, residential gateways, and digital home gateways
    • CMTS equipment and universal edge QAMs
    • Voice CPE: IADs, EMTAs, and voice terminal adapters (VTAs)
    • PON OLTs and ONTs
    • Ethernet FTTH CPE and service provider equipment
  • Technologies tracked:
    • DSL: ADSL/ADSL2+, VDSL/VDSL2, G.SHDSL, standard cable, wideband cable
    • Cable: standard, wideband
    • PON: BPON, GPON, EPON; FTTH vs FTTB
    • FTTH: Ethernet and PON (BPON, GPON, EPON)
  • Subscriber forecasts:
    • DSL: ADSL/ADSL2+, VDSL/VDSL2, G.SHDSL
    • Cable: standard, wideband
    • FTTH: PON, Ethernet

Market research services offered in the Broadband Networks area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts

2008 Continuous Research Service

   Enterprise Data

The Enterprise Data area is led by Matthias Machowinski and covers data networks deployed by SMBs and enterprises at the desktop, wiring closets, and network backbones.
  • Equipment tracked:
    • Layer 2–3 Ethernet switches, including managed, unmanaged, fixed configuration, chassis, workgroup, and backbone switches, 1G and 10G Ethernet, and PoE
    • Layer 4–7 application switches and load balancers
    • Routers (high-end, mid-range, branch office, and low-end/SOHO), fixed configuration, chassis, and business-class DSL and secure routers
    • WAN optimization appliances

Market research services offered in the Enterprise Data area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts

2008 End-User Demand-Side Research

   Enterprise Voice

The Enterprise Voice area is led by Matthias Machowinski and covers communication networks deployed by SMBs and enterprises.
  • Equipment and software tracked:
    • Voice over IP (VoIP)
    • Unified communications (UC), including unified messaging, communicator, and presence
    • IP contact centers (IPCC), including ACD and IVR
    • Pure and hybrid IP PBXs, TDM PBXs and key systems, system sizes, IP desk phones, IP conference phones, softphones, and enterprise VoIP gateways
  • Services tracked:
    • VoIP services, including hosted, IP Centrex, managed PBX, and SIP trunking (see also Service Provider VoIP and IMS area below)

Market research services offered in the Enterprise Voice area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts

2008 End-User Demand-Side Research

2008 Continuous Research Service
 

   IPTV and IP Video

The IPTV and IP Video area is led by Jeff Heynen and covers IPTV for telco and cable operators, cable switched digital video, and mobile video, including equipment, software, services, and subscribers.
  • Equipment and software tracked:
    • Telco IPTV headend equipment, including MPEG-2/4 encoders (SD, HD) and VOD/streaming content servers
    • Cable switched digital video and IPTV equipment, including MPEG-4 encoders (SD, HD) and universal edge QAMs
    • Telco IPTV middleware (content delivery platforms)
    • IP set-top boxes and DOCSIS set-top gateways
    • Mobile video handsets (3G/MBMS, DVB-H, FLO, ISDB-T, S/T-DMB, DAB, CMMB)
  • Technologies tracked:
    • IPTV, switched digital video
  • Subscriber forecasts
    • Telco IPTV: pure IPTV, hybrid IP/over-the-air, hybrid/QAM
    • Cable IPTV
    • Cable switched digital video
    • Mobile video (3G/MBMS, DVB-H, FLO, S/T-DMB, DAB)
  • Service revenue forecasts
    • Telco IPTV: pure IPTV, hybrid IP/over-the-air, hybrid/QAM
    • Cable IPTV
    • Cable switched digital video
    • Mobile video

Market research services offered in the IPTV and IP Video area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts

2008 Service Provider Demand-Side Research
2008 Continuous Research Service

   Metro Ethernet, Routing, and Switching

The Metro Ethernet, Routing, and Switching area is led by Michael Howard and covers IP, MPLS, ATM, Ethernet equipment, and technologies that transport data, video, and voice from CPE through the metro to the core, including services offered.
  • Equipment tracked:
    • Service provider IP core routers
    • Service provider IP edge routers and carrier Ethernet switches (CES) by application, including multiservice edge (MSE), BRAS, and Ethernet applications (Ethernet access transport and Ethernet service edge)
    • Enterprise-class Ethernet switches
    • Multiservice ATM switches
    • Ports by speed for multiservice ATM switches, IP edge routers, IP core routers, and CES
    • Metro Ethernet equipment, including CES, IP edge and core routers, Ethernet over SONET/SDH, Ethernet over WDM, Ethernet over DSL and cable, copper and fiber Ethernet access devices (EADs), EPON, and Ethernet microwave equipment
    • Metro Ethernet ports for EADs, VDSL/G.SHDSL equipment, and EPON OLTs/ONTs, including Ethernet copper and fiber ports in 10/100M, 1G, and 10G speeds
  • Service revenue forecasts:
    • Ethernet services by band: mid-band Ethernet (1M–10M, >10M–50M), >50M–100M, 100M–1G, and >1G
    • Wholesale and retail Ethernet services, including Internet/WAN access, Ethernet private lines, and transparent LAN services
    • IP MPLS VPN services
  • Technologies tracked:
    • 10GE, 40GE, and 100GE
    • COE (connection oriented Ethernet): PBT/PBB-TE, T-MPLS, and S-VLANs

Market research services offered in the Metro Ethernet, Routing, and Switching area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts
2008 Services Market Size and Forecasts
2008 Continuous Research Service

   Network Downtime
   Network Security

The Network Security area is led by Jeff Wilson and covers the set of products and services that protect data and networks and transform the Internet into a secure business environment.
  • Equipment and software tracked:
    • Network security, including VPN and firewall software, integrated security appliances, secure routers, SSL VPN gateways, intrusion detection systems (IDS), and intrusion prevention systems (IPS)
    • Content security, including antivirus (AV), spam, spyware, messaging, and Web
    • Network access control (NAC) enforcement appliances, including out-of-band, in-line, and Ethernet switch-based
  • Service revenue forecasts
    • Encrypted VPNs, including IPSec and SSL
    • Security services, including firewalls, content security, CPE-based, and network-based
  • Security issues tracked:
    • Data leakage prevention
    • Auditing and vulnerability assessment
    • Compliance
    • Security downtime costs
    • Peer-to-peer and endpoint security
    • Wireless security
    • VoIP security
    • Mobile security
    • Security management and provisioning

Market research services offered in the Network Security area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts
2008 Services Market Share and Forecasts
2008 End-User Demand-Side Research
2008 Continuous Research Service

   Optical Networks

The Optical Networks area is led by Michael Howard and covers optical equipment and technologies that transport data, video, and voice from CPE through the metro to the core, including services offered.
  • Equipment tracked:
    • Metro and long haul optical network hardware
    • SONET/SDH switches and transport ADMs and terminals
    • DWDM and CWDM transport terminals, OADMs, and amplifiers
    • ROADMs (Reconfigurable Optical Add/Drop Multiplexer)
    • Packet optical transport systems (POTS)/packet optical transport networks (POTN)
    • Ports by speed for Ethernet optical, SONET/SDH/POS, and WDM equipment
    • Metro and long haul optical equipment by:
      • Verticals, like incumbent and competitive telcos, MSOs, government, education, and finance
      • Countries in the Asia Pacific region, breaking out China, India, Japan, and the Republic of Korea
  • Technologies tracked:
    • Ethernet over optical, such as EoSONET, EoSDH, EoDWDM, and EoCWDM
    • MSPPs and crossconnects
    • COE (connection oriented Ethernet): PBT/PBB-TE, T-MPLS, and S-VLANs
    • G-MPLS, ASON, OTN, etc.
    • 10G, 40G, and 100G

Market research services offered in the Optical Networks area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts

2008 Service Provider Demand-Side Research
2008 Continuous Research Service

   Service Provider Capex and Subscribers

The Service Provider Capex and Subscribers area is led by Stéphane Téral and tracks and forecasts wireline and mobile service providers.
  • Detail by service provider:
    • Capital expenditures, operational expenditures, revenue, and ratios: actuals, 1-year forecast, and guidance
    • Broadband, VoIP, IPTV, and mobile subscriber and access line actuals by quarter
    • Average revenue per user (ARPU) for DSL, cable, and mobile
  • Sub-regional and segment analysis
  • Capex by telecom equipment type
  • Long-term forecasts by service provider type
    • Capital expenditures
    • Revenue
  • Service provider types: incumbent, competitive, wireless only, MSOs
  • Long-term subscriber and access line forecasts and cross-analysis for over 30 fixed, mobile, and FMC subscriber types

Services offered in the Service Provider Capex and Subscribers area:

2008 Database, Size, and Forecasts
 

   Service Provider VoIP and IMS

The Service Provider VoIP and IMS area is led by Stéphane Téral and covers voice over IP and circuit-to-packet migration products, services, and the adoption trends of service providers.
  • Equipment and software tracked:
    • Service provider VoIP equipment, including softswitches (class 4 and class 5), media gateways, voice application servers, media servers, and session border controllers (SBCs)
    • IMS core functions: HSS, CSCF servers, media resource function (MRF), BGCF, application server, PSTN gateways (signaling, MGCF)
  • Technologies and protocols, including VoIP, PacketCable, MGCP, SIP, H.248, and H.323
  • Applications like packet tandem, voice over broadband, IP multimedia, class 5 switch migration, fixed-mobile convergence, and other enhanced voice services
  • NAT/firewall traversal and carrier peering
  • Service revenue forecasts
    • Hosted VoIP services, including residential/SOHO, trunking/VoIP VPN, and IP Centrex/hosted IP
    • Managed IP PBX
  • Subscriber forecasts
    • Residential/SOHO VoIP

Market research services offered in the Service Provider VoIP and IMS area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts
2008 Services Market Share and Forecasts
2008 Service Provider Demand-Side Research
2008 Continuous Research Service
 

   Subscriber, Policy, and Service Management

The Subscriber, Policy, and Service Management area is led by Jeff Heynen and covers service delivery, subscriber data, and policy management, including equipment, software, services and subscribers.
  • Equipment and software tracked:
    • SDP (service delivery platforms) software
    • SDM (subscriber data management) software
    • Policy server equipment
  • Subscriber revenue forecasts
    • SDP systems integration
    • SDM systems integration

Market research services offered in the Subscriber, Policy, and Service Management area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts
2008 Continuous Research Service
 

   Wireless and FMC

The Wireless and FMC area covers cellular, WiMAX, wireless LAN/WiFi, and mobile backhaul. Stéphane Téral leads cellular mobile infrastructure and FMC coverage; Richard Webb leads WiMAX, cellular mobile device (phones, broadband), and femtocell coverage; Michael Howard leads mobile backhaul coverage.
  • Equipment tracked:
    • WiMAX equipment, including fixed WiMAX (802.16d) base stations and CPE, and mobile WiMAX (802.16e) base stations, CPE, NICs, and ASN-gateways
    • Cellular mobile infrastructure:
      • FMC network elements, including UMA network controllers (UNCs), VCC application servers, and multi-access convergence gateways (MACGs)
      • Radio access network (RAN) equipment, including base transceiver stations (BTS), microcells, picocells, base station controllers (BSC), broken out by GSM, W-CDMA, CDMA/CDMA2000
      • Mobile switching subsystems, including mobile switching centers (MSCs) and soft MSCs, broken out by GSM, W-CDMA, CDMA/CDMA2000
      • GPRS gateway support nodes (GGSNs), serving GPRS support nodes (SGSNs), and packet data serving nodes (PDSNs)
      • Home location register (HLR)
    • Femtocell access points: 3G (W-CDMA and CDMA2000) and GSM/GPRS
    • Mobile broadband routers and mobile data cards (EV-DO, HSDPA)
    • First mile mobile backhaul equipment:
      • By technology: PDH, ATM over PDH, SONET/SDH, Ethernet copper and fiber, DSL, PON, coax cable, microwave radio (Ethernet and PDH/SDH), WiMAX, and satellite
      • Pseudowire-enabled and non-pseudowire enabled IP first mile mobile backhaul equipment
    • Indoor and outdoor WiFi mesh network nodes
    • Wireless LAN (WLAN):
      • Independent and dependent access points (APs)
      • Wireless LAN switches and controllers
  • Technologies tracked:
    • GSM/GPRS, HSDPA, HSUPA
    • CDMAone, CDMA2000, EV-DO, EV-DV
    • 4G technologies, such as LTE and UMB, and the roadmap for WiMAX and 4G
    • VoIP over cellular mobile and WiMAX
    • Seamless handover for FMC and WiMAX
  • Phones tracked:
    • Mobile phones, including smartphones and standard phones (2G/2.5G GSM, 3G W-CDMA, 2G/2.5G CDMA, and 3G CDMA2000)
    • Dual mode cellular/WiFi phones, including dual service phones and seamless FMC phones (UMA and IMS)
    • Enterprise single mode WiFi phones
    • Single mode mobile WiMAX phones and dual mode mobile WiMAX/cellular phones
    • See IPTV and IP VIDEO area for mobile video handsets tracked
  • Subscriber forecasts:
    • Mobile phone subscribers by technology: 2G/2.5G GSM, 3G W-CDMA, 2G/2.5G CDMA, and 3G CDMA2000
    • Mobile data subscribers by technology 3G W-CDMA/HSDPA and 3G CDMA2000/EV-DO
    • Fixed and mobile WiMAX subscribers
    • Seamless FMC subscribers by technology: UMA-based and IMS-based
    • See IPTV and IP VIDEO area for IPTV and mobile video subscribers tracked
  • Service revenue and service charge forecasts:
    • Mobile data service revenue by technology: 3G W-CDMA/HSDPA and 3G CDMA2000/EV-DO
    • First mile mobile backhaul service charges by technology: PDH, ATM over PDH, SONET/SDH, Ethernet copper and fiber, DSL, PON, coax cable, microwave radio (Ethernet and PDH/SDH), WiMAX, and satellite

Market research services offered in the Wireless and FMC area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts
2008 Continuous Research Service
 

   Total Telecom and Datacom

The Total Telecom and Datacom area includes equipment and services that cross multiple coverage areas. Jeff Wilson leads telecom and datacom network equipment coverage; Stéphane Téral leads professional services; and Michael Howard and Matthias Machowinski jointly lead 10G Ethernet coverage. Coverage includes:
  • Total of all the service provider and enterprise telecom and datacom network equipment Infonetics Research tracks:
    • Broadband aggregation hardware
    • Broadband CPE
    • IPTV and IP video
    • Optical network hardware
    • Service provider metro Ethernet, routing, and switching
    • Service provider VoIP and IMS equipment
    • Service provider wireless and FMC
    • Network security
    • Enterprise routers, switches, and wireless LAN
    • Enterprise telephony and unified communications equipment
  • Revenue Tier 1, 2, 3, and 4 equipment vendors derive from the professional services they offer to their service provider clients, including integration, network management, support, etc.
  • 10G Ethernet modules and interface cards, including:
    • Enterprise equipment
      • Routers
      • Ethernet switches
      • Application switches
    • Service provider equipment
      • IP edge routers
      • IP core routers
      • Carrier Ethernet switches (CES)
      • CMTS
      • PON OLT
      • WDM
      • SONET/SDH

Market research services offered in the Total Telecom & Datacom area:

2008 Equipment Market Share and Forecasts
 

  Frequency key:
  (A) = Annual, (B) = Biannual, (Q) = Quarterly. Continuous Research Services are delivered 9 to 12 times per year.
  *Service provider actual results and revised guidance are updated on an ongoing basis.

"The number of worldwide seamless FMC subscribers is expected to soar from 188,000 in 2006 to 38.2 million in 2010."

Stéphane Téral
Principal Analyst, Infonetics Research
Content Security Appliances and Software